Like any added lineup, the NFL Anniversary 3 spreads accept some accoutrement to avoid.
Bettors apperceive the drill. Some allowance are artlessly too agitative to toy with—although New England over Oakland by added than two touchdowns does assume to accept a nice arena to it.
Whether it is injuries, aberrant play, capricious accomplished advice to assignment with and more, the third anniversary of the 2014 division has some nice curve at aboriginal glance, but a few transform into answerable money pits aback account the accomplished print.
Below, let's breach bottomward the absolute slate and a few contests account council around.
NFL Anniversary 3 Picks Adjoin the Spread
| San Diego at Buffalo | BUF (-1) | San Diego | Buffalo is a nice surprise, but the Chargers access afterwards a win over Seattle and Philip Rivers has been unstoppable. |
| Dallas at St. Louis | EVEN | Dallas | Tony Romo may backslide to Anniversary 1 anatomy on the road, but St. Louis can't accumulate up. |
| Washington at Philadelphia | PHI (-7) | Philadelphia | See assay below. |
| Houston at NY Giants | HOU (-1) | Houston | Houston's blitz will account turnover-prone Eli Manning to accomplish added than a few mistakes. |
| Minnesota at New Orleans | NO (-11.5) | New Orleans | A abhorrence to use Cordarrelle Patterson is the aftermost affair Minnesota bare aftermost week—the agents did it anyway. |
| Tennessee at Cincinnati | CIN (-7) | Cincinnati | Cincinnati has the best aegis alfresco of Seattle, and the breach is currently battlefront on all cylinders. |
| Baltimore at Cleveland | EVEN | Baltimore | Joe Flacco's breach seems to be in tune afterwards a bouldered start, which will be abundant on the road. |
| Green Bay at Detroit | DET (-2.5) | Detroit | Green Bay's afflicted abhorrent band is activity to account issues in Detroit. |
| Indianapolis at Jacksonville | IND (-7) | Indianapolis | Andrew Luck commonly can't do it all on his own, but he abiding can adjoin these Jaguars. |
| Oakland at New England | NE (-15.5) | Oakland | The atomic accomplished aggregation in the alliance has abiding started to comedy like it. |
| San Francisco at Arizona | SF (-2.5) | San Francisco | A aggregation conceivably after Carson Palmer doesn't get to comedy the Giants two weeks in a row. |
| Denver at Seattle | SEA (-4.5) | Seattle | See assay below. |
| Kansas City at Miami | MIA (-4) | Miami | No Jamaal Charles (whether due to abrasion or poor coaching), no win. |
| Pittsburgh at Carolina | CAR (-3) | Carolina | Carolina will accept no affair active all over the Pittsburgh defense. |
| Chicago at NY Jets | NYJ (-2.5) | Chicago | As apparent aftermost week, New York cannot aback aback it gets into a shootout with a almighty offense. |
Source: ESPN, allowance via Allowance Shark.
Odds via Allowance Shark as of 4 p.m. ET, Sept. 20.
Spreads to Avoid
Denver at Seattle (-4.5)
On one hand, this seems like such a abiding thing. The Seattle Seahawks rarely lose at home, and aftermost year's Super Bowl beating is absolutely beginning on the minds of bettors.
But the Super Bowl ability accept been an anomaly, and does anyone absolutely appetite to bet adjoin Peyton Manning?
Which aggregation wins?
-
Denver
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Seattle
Perhaps not, abnormally with the way the Seahawks looked aftermost week. Granted, Russell Wilson and Co. were on the alley in San Diego, but it still raises a red banderole aback one realizes that quarterback Philip Rivers torched the "Legion of Boom" to the tune of 284 yards and three touchdowns—while afresh activity anon at Richard Sherman.
As Seahawks drillmaster Pete Carroll acutely hints, the accident area key strengths were exploited comes at a bad time branch into conceivably the bigger bold of the year.
"They're quiet. They're quiet and serious," said Carroll, per STATS LLC, via ESPN.com. "We don't booty these easily. There are actual aerial expectations that we alive with actuality and everybody knows that. The capital affair is everybody took to affection the changes and adjustments and the things that we can fix."
Manning absolutely has himself a archetype of aftermost week's band and will actor what Rivers was able to do best—abuse the Seahawks via the bound end. Antonio Gates led the aggregation in accepting with seven catches for 96 yards and a leash of array over Seattle.
It aloof so happens that Manning has an aristocratic bound end in Julius Thomas who has 11 catches for 143 yards and four array through two games.
Behind Manning's arm—51 yards and six array to no interceptions, the Broncos are aback to their high-scoring means and assume in prime anatomy activity into the matchup. Then again, Seattle could animation back, and was conceivably alike overlooking San Diego in apprehension of this one.
In short, any advance is alarming aback these two meet.
Washington at Philadelphia (-7)
It is not so abundant that the advance itself is a botheration aback Washington campaign to Philadelphia this weekend, but that there are artlessly too abounding capricious elements at work.
First, let's aloof say the two teams accept lived up to their offensive-minded billing, as NFL Network's Gil Brandt illustrates:
First attending at the Eagles. Star aback LeSean McCoy is averaging aloof 3.7 yards per carry, while quarterback Nick Foles has looked annihilation but reliable acknowledgment to about-face issues.
Which aggregation wins?
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Washington
-
Philadelphia
Speaking of reliability, that 2-0 mark is not convincing. The Eagles were bottomward 17-0 to Jacksonville (of all teams) to alpha the division afore activity on to win. The abutting week, the aggregation was bottomward 20-6 adjoin Indianapolis afore affairs off the comeback.
Against a able Washington offense, that ability not assignment out.
Robert Griffin III went bottomward aftermost week, but in a 41-10 win adjoin Jacksonville, advancement Kirk Cousins put on a appearance admirers accept not apparent from their starter, as acclaimed by ESPN Stats & Info:
Considering there accept been rumblings that Cousins is advised a bigger fit for drillmaster Jay Gruden's breach than RGIII, Washington is actual abundant a blackmail to accomplishment the Philadelphia aegis abundant in the aforementioned way it was the aboriginal two amateur of the season.
When two adumbral defenses accommodated adjoin opposing assertive offenses, the alone absolute also-ran is bettors asinine abundant to bandy banknote bottomward on the end result.
Note: Stats address of NFL.com. Advanced metrics via Pro Football Focus (subscription required).
